潜行狙击

海南产经新观察：商业航天加速起势,海南产经新观察：商业航天加速起势_我的网站

A |     Scott Ritter, a military analyst and former US Marine Corps intelligence officer, offers his views on the West's motivation to provide continued financial and military assistance to Ukraine, the reasons why the US and EU are choosing to fuel the hostilities instead of encouraging Kiev to negotiate, and reflects on how long Ukraine's beneficiaries in the West will be able to afford such expenses.,Sputnik: The European Union on Wednesday moved to pour additional 500 million euros into Ukraine's military. In a statement on Twitter, EU foreign policy chief Josep Borrell said that EU states remain "focused and steadfast" in their support of Kiev. What goals are the US and EU pursuing by pouring more money into the Ukrainian military?,Scott Ritter: The hope is to transform the conflict that is ongoing in Ukraine as a result of the Russian special military operation into a protracted conflict that can lead to a stalemate that would result in significant Russian costs, both in terms of manpower and military equipment, but also financial costs, and thereby weaken Russia. Ultimately what they are visualizing would be a Ukraine strong enough to evict Russia from its borders.,It's not possible, this is fantasy in the extreme, but it's politically inspired fantasy, meaning that the United States and its European allies have invested so much political capital into propping up the Ukrainian military and the Ukrainian government and the Ukrainian economy that even though most sound analysts understand that not only is Ukraine losing the conflict, but they can never win the conflict. Politically, Western politicians cannot divorce themselves from these policies. So in order to maintain a public perception at home of the chance of a Ukrainian victory, they will continue to squander the wealth of their respective nations.,Sputnik: Why are Western states prolonging the hostilities despite the growing discontent of their populations with economic problems?,Scott Ritter: There's an old saying in the United States that I believe translates into most politics: “when you're explaining, you're losing.” And right now, these politicians would have to explain to their constituents why they were wrong about Ukraine, why they were wrong about Russia. And especially here in the United States, we're dealing with the lead-up to very critical midterm elections. No politician wants to be explaining anything to anybody. They want to be shaping perceptions that build upon past performances. This is all about domestic politics. This has nothing to do with reality.,Sputnik: How dangerous is the decision to provide Ukraine with fighter jets?,Scott Ritter: This is just a fantasy. The people coming up with this apparently are not pilots. They've watched, perhaps, one too many Top Gun movies, and they think that you could just take a pilot, put him or her into any airframe, and have that airframe perform viably in combat situations. Any effort to take a Ukrainian pilot and put that Ukrainian pilot into an American or European fighter with minimal training and then have that fighter employed in combat operations in Ukraine against the Russian Air Force would 100% of the time end up with the Western fighter jet being shot down.,I don't mean to be rude here, but this is a very stupid idea. But we're talking about politics, not sound policy. So it sounds good for a politician to be telling his or her constituents that we are providing the Ukrainians with the best equipment possible to include the top of the line fighter aircraft. What they really should be saying is we are guaranteeing that every Ukrainian pilot we train will die at the hands of the Russian Air Force, because that's what the ultimate outcome will be.,Russia's Special Operation in UkraineUS, Allies Weigh Possibility of Training Ukrainian Pilots20 July, 16:55 GMT,The thing about, especially American, generals is that they are political animals. They didn't get that fourth star necessarily because of their military competence. They got it because they impressed a politician with their political acumen. And so what we have is a general playing politics, a general who is saying what the politicians want to hear. And that's not what his role is. His role is to provide sound military assessment, military advice to the politicians.,But if an American military officer did that today, they couldn't agree with anything that the Biden administration or the US Congress was seeking to do in Ukraine, and therefore they would never get promoted. They would never get a good job. I don't like to denigrate serving military officers, but this is a political decision, not a military decision, even though the man making it wears a military uniform.,Sputnik: Can the West collectively really afford such spending now, at a time of harsh polarization and soaring prices?,Scott Ritter: No, they can't afford it. And we have some nations that are starting to realize this. The German defense minister, who is very hawkish against Russia, has acknowledged that Germany simply has no more weapons to give and they're not in a position to build new weapons. They're worrying about other economic realities. The same holds true with the United States.,US, UK Want to Turn Russia Against Europe by Supplying Ukraine With Weapons, Lavrov Tells Sputnik20 July, 08:51 GMT,At some point time in time, we are going to run out of materiel to give to Ukraine. I read somewhere that with all the HIMARS multiple launch rocket systems we're providing to Ukraine, we're also providing Ukraine with one third of the ammunition stockpiles for the HIMARS, meaning that we, the United States, only have two thirds of our ammunition stores available if we had to go to war, which means we will run out of ammunition.,This is insane, literally insane to be sacrificing the national security of the United States or of a European nation so that politicians can look and sound good for the next couple of weeks. But it will not change the equation on the battlefield in Ukraine. The Ukrainian Army is in an impossible situation. They literally cannot recover from the debacle that has befallen them.,Russia's Special Operation in UkraineScoop: NATO Doesn’t Trust Ukraine With HIMARS, Operating Advanced Artillery Themselves, Source Says21 July, 10:07 GMT,The sad thing is that Ukrainian leaders are buying into the fiction provided by the West of if they just get more weapons, they can successfully defend against Russia. This means that more Ukrainian soldiers are going to die, more Russian soldiers are going to die, and tragically, more Ukrainian civilians are going to suffer.,Sputnik: Leaders of the Group of Seven recently pledged to stand with Ukraine "for as long as it takes." How feasible is this pledge?,Scott Ritter: When the Group of Seven made that, one of the leaders was a guy named Boris Johnson. He's not the leader anymore. The other guy was a gentleman whose last name was Draghi. He's not the leader anymore. I think as the summer and the winter come along, more and more of these leaders are going to be removed from office because it's an unsustainable policy. Politicians have a proclivity for saying things that have no basis in reality. It's very inexpensive for a politician to say "we are going to support you forever.",WorldG7 States Pledge to Provide Ukraine With Military, Diplomatic Aid for as Long as Needed28 June, 11:25 GMT,Forever in what sense? Boris Johnson is not supporting them forever – he's out of power. Draghi is not supporting them forever – he's out of power. And just about everybody who was on that stage at the G7 meeting will be out of power. Suddenly, we have a whole new definition of what "forever" means. It means “not now, not anymore.”。    　　海南文昌8月26日电 (记者 符宇群 王晓斌)为期3天的2026文昌国际航空航天论坛26日在海南省文昌市结束。

B | 一场论坛，多个航天产业项目集中签约、科创平台接连揭牌，一批中外航天产业主体向文昌国际航天城抛出橄榄枝，释放出海南商业航天加速起势的鲜明信号。图为2026文昌国际航空航天论坛开幕式上举行的集中签约仪式。　记者 骆云飞 摄　　坐拥中国首个开放性滨海发射场、全国唯一商业航天发射场，文昌凭借低纬度、射向广、落区安全、海运便捷等先天优势，沿着“以场带产带科、产城融合”的发展路径，重点布局火箭链、卫星链、数据链、航天旅游及“航天+”多元产业，商业航天产业加速集聚。

C | 　　“海南商业航天发射场已圆满完成21次发射任务，长征十号乙运载火箭在文昌实现全球首次网系回收，卫星超级工厂进入试生产阶段，海南航天数据跨境加工贸易区正式揭牌。”海南省省长刘小明表示，海南商业航天正加速起势，向具有全球影响力的商业航天产业集聚迈进。　　当前，文昌正瞄准航班化发射、“百箭千星”中长期目标，商业航天迎来重要发展窗口期。

D | 如今的文昌不再只是一座发射保障基地，而是涵盖火箭总装、卫星制造、数据交易、文旅观礼等多元业态的产业新城。

E | 　　随着可重复使用火箭技术逐渐成熟，文昌在回收、检测、复用环节的区位优势加速释放，产业集聚效应持续增强。立足海南自贸港全岛封关运作新机遇，抢抓重复使用火箭产业化新风口，一批早已瞄准文昌的中外企业加快布局脚步。

F | 图为海南航天数据跨境加工贸易区在2026文昌国际航空航天论坛开幕式上揭牌成立。　记者 骆云飞 摄　　此次论坛上，文昌国际航天城管理局与17家商业航天产业链企业签署合作协议，覆盖火箭回收保障、卫星测控、动力试验、航天文旅、产融服务等多个领域。海南航天集团也与多家金融、文旅机构达成合作。来自东南亚、欧洲等地的海外航天企业代表受访时纷纷表达落地合作意愿，看好文昌发射资源与自贸港政策叠加红利。

G | 　　南非派拉林克航天公司(PyraLink Aerospace)是一家非洲民营商业发射初创企业，专注本土轨道运载火箭研发。该公司首席执行官塔托·劳伦斯·马吉拉表示，有意向在文昌设立企业、迁入研发业务，期待深化非洲与中国航天产业合作。　　千机变(杭州)科技有限公司是一家基于遥感数据研发空天AI模型的企业。该公司创始人王玉松带着航天AI算法合作意向参会，他透露，目前已在多个方向与相关机构达成初步共识，后续计划在文昌落地人工智能研发公司。　　业内人士指出，未来商业航天爆发点不在火箭本身，而在于在轨服务、深空探测和太空算力；前端应用越发达，对全产业链的需求就越强，商业航天才能真正形成可持续的闭环。

H | 海南的挑战不在“造”和“发”，而在“用”。应用端打开，万亿赛道才是活水。　　海南正把“发射优势”转化为“数据优势”，让商业航天从“造火箭、发卫星”走向“用数据、卖服务”。论坛上，海南航天数据跨境加工贸易区、中泰共建“智算星群联合实验室”揭牌成立，推动文昌在航天数据流通领域迈出新步伐。　　在星测未来科技(北京)有限责任公司创始人曹德志看来，当前海外业务正成为中国商业航天企业新的拓展方向之一，海南自贸港为企业走向国际提供独特的平台优势，刚成立的海南航天数据跨境加工贸易区在促进企业开展海外卫星应用服务业务领域有先行先试的利好。　　“此次公司与海南数据与应用研究中心签约合作，基于雷达卫星在轨智能识别技术为泰国提供针对洪涝灾害的检测服务。”曹德志希望依托文昌的业务打造标杆案例，长远助力企业航天技术与服务出海。

I | 　　中外航天企业奔赴文昌布局的热潮，是海南自贸港培育商业航天新质生产力的写照。国家航天局总工程师李国平表示，将全力支持海南省“向天图强”，加速聚集火箭制造、卫星制造、数据应用等产业，推动商业航天市场常态化业务运行，打造中国商业航天的创新高地。

Current article:http://aswe9k1.linxiuhuaishuangniuzhenrua.bond/y5wha/20260826/674913.html

Published on:19:23:17