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Analyst Says Scottish IndyRef Re-Run Blocked by BoJo Could be Risky for SNP_我的网站

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一 |     日报讯(记者米彦泽、潘文静)8月25日,“算力中国行”(京津冀)媒体调研采访活动在石家庄启动。40余名来自中央媒体、行业媒体和省直媒体的记者,将奔赴雄安新区、廊坊、天津武清、北京亦庄等地,围绕算力基础设施、装备制造、智算集群、行业应用、城市大脑、太空算力等成效,开展为期3天的调研采访,多角度、立体式感受京津冀算力产业蓬勃向上的发展态势。

二 |     Another Scottish independence referendum could be risky for the regional government in Edinburgh, an academic and analyst has said.,Embattled British Prime Minister Boris Johnson wrote to Nicola Sturgeon, leader of the Scottish National Party (SNP) and first minister in the devolved administration, on Wednesday evening to deny her latest demand for a re-run of the 2014 plebiscite.,"As our country faces unprecedented challenges at home and abroad, I cannot agree that now is the time to return to a question, which was clearly answered by the people of Scotland in 2014," Johnson wrote.,Sturgeon announced in June that Scotland's Lord Advocate Dorothy Bain — whose cabinet post combines the powers of the Westminster government's attorney general and the director of public prosecutions — would ask the Supreme Court to rule on the legality of holding another vote without necessary approval from the Westminster Parliament.,The nationalist leader claimed Scots would vote to separate from England — where many of them work — out of a desire to reverse Brexit and opposition to 12 years of government by the Conservative Party, which holds few Parliamentary seats in Scotland.,Dr Roslyn Fuller, director of the non-profit think tank Solonian Democracy Institute and the author of the book Beasts and Gods: How Democracy Changed Its Meaning and Lost Its Purpose told Sputnik that while pushing for a repeat referendum was central to the SNP's identity, it was also a dangerous gamble.,She said SNP's planned vote next year would only be "advisory" and "non-binding", but that it also took the party back to its basic reason for being.,"I think the SNP has the same challenges that many other independence parties like Sinn Fein or the Bloc Quebecois have — they succeed in attaining power in their own region which forces them to go from a single-issue party (independence) to develop a multitude of other policies that voters then judge them on," the academic said.,"They end up working within the system they intended to break away from and this can dilute their message," Fuller added. "Sturgeon and the SNP generally need to be seen to be continuing to pursue independence to satisfy a certain portion of their voters, and this is a way to achieve that".,Running the plebiscite — with legal sanction — and winning would give the SNP a boost going in to the next general election, due by the end of January 2025 but potentially much sooner, the analyst believes.,Even if the vote was blocked, Sturgeon has already stated that she would consider the next general election a de-facto referendum on independence, she points out. "So again, it would serve to drive out the vote for the SNP and try to focus attention on this one issue (independence) that differentiates them from the other major parties.","The only really risky situation for her would be if the Court did greenlight such an advisory referendum and it failed at the polls," Fuller stressed.,The 'Yes' campaign was leading in the polls in the run-up to the 2014 referendum, but ultimately the 10 per cent of voters declaring themselves undecided went overwhelmingly to the 'No' camp. Scotland voted by 55 per cent to 45 to remain part of the UK.,The key unknown factor, according to Fuller, is who succeeds Johnson as next Tory leader an PM.,"My personal feeling is that we'll be seeing a turn of the Tories back to more establishment politics with likely quite different policies," she says. "I think they ran Johnson as a counter to Corbyn, but that job is done now that the Labour party has turned back to its own centre.",Fuller argues that such a major change of political direction would be significant enough that a snap general election should be called to seek a new mandate to govern. She says the SNP's performance at the polls would be crucial to their referendum bid.,Prof: Scottish Independence Requires Serious Debate Amid Soaring Cost of Living in UK16 June, 12:47 GMT,Legal Avenues,The think-tank director believes Sturgeon's appeal to the Supreme Court shows the SNP is anxious keep its latest bid for a referendum on firm legal ground, since its declared pretext for the vote is so Scotland can re-apply for membership of the European Union (EU). But she cautioned that would open "a whole can of worms.","Firstly, it clouds the entire idea of independence. It Scotland were to re-join the EU, which is heading towards getting rid of unanimity voting, the average Scot would have significantly less power than they do if they remain in the UK," she says.,"It is not 'independence' in any actual meaning of the word," Fuller stressed. "How do you run an 'independence' referendum on the understanding that if you win, you are going to join a larger, even less democratic, entity?",But more importantly, an unsanctioned 'indyref' would put the SNP in the same bracket as the coalition of Catalan nationalist parties who held an unofficial plebiscite in 2017, in which only supporters of independence bothered to vote. The political organisers found themselves arrested and charged or, in the case of then-regional president Carles Puigdemont, fleeing abroad as a fugitive.,"There are countries in the EU, like Spain, that are very much against separatist referendums, so getting some kind of legal blessing for this is probably necessary to retain their support," Fuller says.。在当天召开的媒体座谈会上,省工业和信息化厅、省通信管理局、廊坊市政府分别介绍了省算力产业、信息通信业以及廊坊市算力发展情况,相关企业代表作了交流发言。“京津冀协同发展大背景下,已经成长为全国举足轻重的算力产业高地。

三 | ”工业和信息化部新闻宣传中心总编辑王保平表示,中国信通院《2025综合算力指数》显示,省综合算力指数连续两年位居全国第一,廊坊、张家口两座城市算力分指数连续两年居全国前两位。在他看来,发展算力,具备区位近、绿电足、基础实、政策优四大突出优势。区位上,廊坊算力集群到北京时延仅1毫秒,张家口对接北京核心区域时延可控制在3毫秒内,是承接北京算力外溢的核心枢纽。绿电上,张家口作为国家可再生能源示范区,新能源装机基础雄厚,为算电协同、绿色算力发展提供了得天独厚的资源条件。底座上,全省建成5G基站22.3万个,6个城市获评千兆城市,万兆光网试点项目入选数量居全国前列;已经形成张家口、廊坊两大算力集聚高地,全国十强算力服务商已有7家布局廊坊。政策上,省工信厅联合八部门出台《省“人工智能+制造”专项行动实施方案》。廊坊推出算力券等惠企举措,当地产业正在从“卖机柜”向“卖词元”升级。2026中国算力大会将于9月11日至13日在廊坊市举行。本次采访活动正是为大会开展前置调研预热,挖掘一线实践样本,凝聚产业共识。参与集中采访活动的记者们表示,京津冀算力产业软硬协同、天地一体发展,将通过这次集中采访,深度挖掘算力产业的特色实践,讲好京津冀协同发展背景下的算力故事,深度阐释算电协同赋能新型工业化的广阔空间。

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